The National Transformation Plan 2025–2029 in brief

Where Xidig members may contribute

• Track progress: members can follow NTP targets in their sector and compare them with official data as it appears.
• Sector expertise: professionals in fisheries, energy, health or education can explain what the targets would take to achieve.
• Data: many targets need better statistics to measure; statisticians and researchers can help.

Possible services, research, supplier or collaboration roles

• An independent tracker of selected NTP targets, using official data.
• Sector briefs explaining what each target means in practice.
• Policy research on how the plan could be financed.

Who may find this useful

• Anyone following the government's investment proposals who wants the bigger picture.
• Development professionals, researchers and students.
• Diaspora members following national priorities.
• Businesses planning around government priorities to 2029.

What the plan says

From the MoPIED NTP Executive Summary, dated 23 February 2025:

• The four pillars: "Transformational Governance", "Sustainable Economic Transformation", "Social and Human Capital Transformation" and "Environment and Climate Resilience".
• Six core objectives (paraphrased from p.1):
  1. Establish and strengthen institutions for transparent, accountable and inclusive governance.
  2. Foster macroeconomic stability and lay the foundations for diversifying the economy.
  3. Build critical infrastructure, including roads, energy, public buildings and broadband.
  4. Increase support to the social sector for human capital, and protect vulnerable people, particularly persons with disabilities.
  5. Increase resilience to environmental and climate shocks.
  6. Mainstream gender equity, human rights and inclusion in all policies and programmes.
• Its self-description: after the previous plan, NDP-9 (2020–2024), "a complete paradigm shift leading to huge transformation in all sectors is deemed necessary".

The plan's main targets

The figures below are from the NTP Executive Summary. They are the plan's goals, not results.

How the government's investment list fits. Several of its proposals match NTP targets closely. The road rehabilitation sheet proposes the same 3,825 km, and the deep-seaports sheet names the same three ports. See Somalia's roads and trade corridors and Somalia's seaports and a proposed Mogadishu dry dock. That list can be read as the part of the plan offered to private investors.

What the executive summary does not give. Xidig found no overall cost, no economy-wide growth or poverty target and no results framework in the 19-page executive summary. Xidig has not reviewed the full plan (a very large PDF); these may be in it.

The financing challenge. The federal government's own budget is small compared with these ambitions. The FY2026 budget framework projects domestic revenue of US$470.6 million and total spending of US$1.37 billion, and says the 2026 budget "aims to focus on implementing the priority strategic initiatives contained in the Centennial Vision 2060 and NTP1". Most of the plan's big numbers therefore depend on private investors and development partners.

Development partners.

• World Bank: its Somalia page says the NTP and Vision 2060 outline "significant state and institution-building reforms, aimed at inclusive growth, job creation, and reducing fragility". Its current country strategy (FY2024–2028) was prepared before the NTP.
• United Nations: the UN said the NTP and Vision 2060 would "inform the next UN Cooperation Framework set to be launched in 2026".
• UNDP: its 2026–2030 country programme, about US$306.7 million, is aligned with the NTP.

Vision 2060.

• Timing: the President announced it in January 2023 and launched it on 23 June 2025. (The booklet's p.8 says "launched in 2023".)
• Goal: "a resilient economy that will have a per capita income of USD 6,163 (in 2025 dollars) by 2060", with growth averaging 6.8% a year and poverty falling from 54.4% to 12.3%.
• Delivery: it "will be implemented through the country's National Transformation Plan (NTP 2025-2029), subsequent MTPs, and sectoral and regional plans".
• International links: Vision 2060 aligns with the SDGs, the African Union's Agenda 2063 and regional visions.

Monitoring.

• Quarterly system: Somalia "updates its National Integrated Monitoring and Evaluation System (e-NIMES) quarterly and convenes quarterly Pillar Working Groups" (Global Partnership for Effective Development Co-operation, November 2025).
• Digital tracker: on 8 September 2026 the government launched a digital system to track NTP projects across all 26 federal ministries (Dawan).
• Progress reports: Xidig found no published NTP progress report or review yet. A mid-term review would normally come around 2027.

The previous plan. NDP-9 (2020–2024) had four pillars: "Inclusive Politics, Security and Rule of law, Economic Development and Social Development". Its mid-term review (data to June 2022) found that half of the economic pillar targets had been met. An end-of-plan evaluation was commissioned in March 2025; Xidig did not find the report.

Member states. MoPIED says it consulted the Federal Member States "between July to December 2024 to identify key states' opportunities, challenges, and priorities". The plan's documents do not list which states took part. Xidig takes no position on federal and member-state relations.

Dependencies and implementation constraints

• Money: private investment and donor funding far beyond the federal budget.
• Security and stability.
• Data to measure progress.
• Cooperation between federal and member-state governments.

Risks and unknowns

• Ambitious targets with limited public finance.
• Aid cuts: falling external funding in 2026 could slow social-sector targets.
• Unclear baselines: some starting figures, such as youth unemployment of 30.1% in 2024, are given without a data source in the summary.
• Political events that could change priorities.

Questions members should verify before acting

1. What does the full NTP say about total cost and financing?
2. Which targets are funded, and by whom?
3. Is there a published annual progress report?
4. How do member-state plans relate to the NTP in your region?

What is confirmed, and what isn't

Confirmed

• Cabinet approval (23 Feb 2025) and launch (17 Mar 2025).
• The pillars, objectives and sector targets in the executive summary.
• Vision 2060's announcement (January 2023) and launch (23 June 2025).
• The FY2026 budget framework's link to the NTP.

Our interpretation

• The government's investment list is the investor-facing part of the plan.

Not yet verified

• The NTP's total cost and full results framework.
• Any progress against targets.
• Which member states took part in consultations.

Relevant next steps

• Read the NTP Executive Summary on MoPIED's website.
• Follow MoPIED's monthly newsletters for monitoring updates.